Quantitative Indicators for Defense Analysis
Abstract
The report develops and demonstrates various means of using quantitative indicator technology in analyzing and predicting future international trends. Three generic types of indicators were created to enhance the analysts abilities to estimate future international interaction trends: international, internal, and economic. Issue content, intensity of participation, behavioral tone, and other types of indicators were used. Two innovative methodologies were devised to help the policy analyst: Event patterning for decision analysis which combines usually and statistically the attributes of interactive tone, intensity, and time; and power strategy impact analysis, involving aspects of power strategies in statistical analyses of interactive tone over time. The results were a number of techniques of potential use to the analyst of international behavior.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 1975
- Accession Number
- ADA012805
Entities
People
- Bertram I. Spector
- Gary A. Keynon
- James A. Moore
- James R. Brownell. Jr.
- Margaret Daly Hayes