Submarine and Missile Requirements as a Function of the Number of Missiles per Submarine and Submarine Neutralization Probability,
Abstract
Statistical effects of changing the number of strategic missiles carried on each missile submarine are explored in this study. The number of submarines required so that a specific number of missiles will survive an enemy 'first strike' and be available for retaliation is determined using a simple binomial model of survival. The measures of effectiveness used are (1) the numbers of submarines and missiles initially required in the submarine-missile system and (2) the total system cost. It is demonstrated that changes in submarine neutralization probability could be the dominating factor in selecting submarine size. A statistical basis is provided for evaluation of potential changes in this neutralization probability.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 1975
- Accession Number
- ADA015082
Entities
People
- J. B. Tysver
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School