Mathematical Model for Disease Prediction.

Abstract

The work described in the present report centered about creation of geophysical and medical observations concerning Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever in the western United States. Two mathematical model systems were produced and tested. Both the Qualitative and the Quantitative models were demonstrated to be fully capable of predicting the occurrence of the disease, as tested against actual disease observations. In both cases a county 'grid system' was used. In addition, certain exploratory studies were initiated, pointing towards possible new directions for follow-on studies. These dealt specifically with observation of schistosomiasis and the geophysical environment of Puerto Rico, and also in more general terms dealt with evaluation of the needs for special and/or new computer support for Army personnel who carry forward similar studies in the future. These exploratory studies are presented in the final section.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 1974
Accession Number
ADA016097

Entities

People

  • Donald A. B. Lindberg
  • Jian K. Chang
  • Samuel J. Dwyer Iii

Organizations

  • University of Missouri

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Army Personnel
  • Diseases And Disorders
  • Mathematical Models
  • Medical Personnel
  • Models
  • Mountains
  • Observation
  • Puerto Rico
  • Rocky Mountains
  • Tickborne Diseases
  • United States

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Infectious Disease/Epidemiology
  • Theoretical Analysis.