Admissible Scoring Systems for Continuous Distributions,

Abstract

The use of admissible scoring systems as a measure of probabilistic forecasts is becoming increasingly well-known in those cases where the forecast is a discrete distribution over a finite number of alternatives. The defining property of an admissible scoring system is that any individual perceives himself as maximizing his expected score by reporting his true subjective distribution.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1974
Accession Number
ADA019351

Entities

People

  • Thomas A. Brown

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Discrete Distribution

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Regression Analysis.