Robustness Studies for Bayesian Developments in Reliability.

Abstract

The Weibull probability density function is considered as a failure model under the influence of a stochastic scale parameter. Bayesian estimates of the scale parameter, reliability function and hazard rate are given for the conjugate prior distribution. A method for evaluating the robustness of the conjugate prior distribution which characterizes the behavior of the parameter is presented. A computer simulation to investigate the robustness of the conjugate prior distribution with respect to six other prior probability distributions, namely, beta, Poisson, inverted gamma, truncated normal, log-normal and extreme value, were employed. These results indicate that there is a significant variation in the average mean squared error even when the priors were chosen so that their first two moments approximately agreed with that of the conjugate.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1976
Accession Number
ADA020673

Entities

People

  • A. N. V. Rao
  • C. P. Tsokos

Organizations

  • University of South Florida

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Computer Simulations
  • Computers
  • Mathematics
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Reliability
  • Simulations
  • Simulators

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Calculus or Mathematical Analysis
  • Mechanical Engineering/Mechanics of Materials.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference