Evaluation of F-16 Subsystem Options Through the Use of Mission Completion Success Probability and Designing to System Performance/Cost Models.

Abstract

The Mission Completion Success Probability (MCSP) and Designing to System Performance/Cost (DSPC) models developed by the Office of the Assistant for Study Support provide the program manager with a quantitative method of analysis to aid in reliability management. The MCSP model calculates the probability of mission completion without an abort-causing failure of a subsystem. In addition, it produces a ranking of subsystems identifying those most likely to cause aborts, and performs a sensitivity analysis on non-redundant subsystems. The DSPC model analyzes combinations of subsystem options to define those options which lead to a higher MCSP at lower cost. Various optimal configurations are presented, allowing trade-offs of MCSP for different acquisition costs, logistic support costs, or total costs. When combined with the MCSP results, the DSPC model extends the methodology for applications to life cycle cost analysis.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1975
Accession Number
ADA021263

Entities

People

  • Alan G. Dunkerley
  • Allan M. Doman

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Cost Analysis
  • Cost Models
  • Costs
  • Cycles
  • Life Cycle Costs
  • Life Cycle Management
  • Life Cycles
  • Probability
  • Reliability
  • Resource Management
  • Sensitivity
  • Systems Management
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Test Methods

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis