Methodology of Fallout-Risk Assessment

Abstract

This paper analyzes the decomposition of radioactive fallout in attack environments of varying complexity with both deterministic and probabalistic winds. Based on the WSEG-10 Fallout Model, simplified calculational methods are developed to allow the determination of fallout risk for single weapons and clusters of closely spaced weapons. Monte Carlo methods are used that illustrate the nature of the probability distributions of fallout risk for large attacks with typical seasonal wind distributions for the United States.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1975
Accession Number
ADA022242

Entities

People

  • Leo Jr A. Schmidt

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Blast
  • Center Of Gravity
  • Civil Defense
  • Computers
  • Distribution Functions
  • Geometry
  • Height Of Burst
  • Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • New Jersey
  • Normal Distribution
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Radiation Effects
  • United States
  • Urban Areas
  • Wind Shear
  • Wind Velocity

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Nuclear Civil Defense.
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • Space