Predicting Attrition: An empirical Study at the United States Air Force Academy
Abstract
The research contained in this report describes an analytical framework through which voluntary attrition can be predicted. The approach incorporates Marshallian Utility Theory and a Maximum Likelihood Estimation procedure to evaluate a specific individual's propensity to attrit. The approach was tested twice at the United States Air Force Academy where it was able to correctly predict over a third of the voluntary losses a priori on a by-name basis. These results indicate that the approach has practical usefulness as an operational tool. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 01, 1976
- Accession Number
- ADA024816
Entities
People
- Jack R. Dempsey
- Jonathan C. Fast