The Transition From Threat Situations to International Crises
Abstract
A new orientation to pre-crisis study is developed drawing upon concepts from international systems analysis, empirical research on international crises and insights from cybernetics about monitoring change in a system. Conceptions of threat are divided into threat as behavior and threat as perception. Threat as behavior is determined by monitoring international event/ interactions. Threat as perception is determined by the cognitive appraisals of international affairs analysts. Analyzing threat situations is viewed as a new criterion for anticipating international crises. A threat recognition model is proposed.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Sep 01, 1976
- Accession Number
- ADA030678
Entities
People
- Richard S. Beal
Organizations
- University of Southern California