A Model to Forecast Computer Usage by the Air Force Institute of Technology.
Abstract
This thesis analyzes the growth rate of usage of the Air Force Logistics Command CREATE computer system by the Air Force Institute of Technology. The analysis uses exponential smoothing in time series forecasting, linear regression to determine the effect of changes in the number of batch jobs or hours of time sharing on the amount of each parameter used such as Core, central processing unit and input-output, and interviews of the faculty and staff to determine curriculum and policy changes not reflected in the historical data base of computer usage. The data base for the analysis was the thirty-month period from January, 1974, to June, 1976. The forecast was for the twelve-month period from July, 1976, to June 1977. The results showed a slight increase in most parameters over the forecast period. It was concluded that the time series forecast held promise for computer usage prediction and may have application in scheduling of computer systems.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Sep 01, 1976
- Accession Number
- ADA032461
Entities
People
- Gerald A. Purnell
- Thomas E. Anderson
Organizations
- Air Force Institute of Technology