Use of End Item Age and Usage in Demand Forecasting.

Abstract

This study suggests a method whereby during the initial two year demand period, the maintenance factor of each part is adjusted to reflect the general shape of the aggregate replacement curve of all the parts of the given system. This curve along with its arguments (usage rate, rolled up usage, age) appear to be dependent on the mission and/or design of the weapon system. By replacing the adjusted MF into the demand weighted forecast algorithm cited in DoDI 4140.42, a much improved forecast algorithm was derived. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1976
Accession Number
ADA037585

Entities

People

  • Arthur Hutchison
  • Edwin Gotwals Iii

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Delphi Method
  • End Items
  • Maintenance
  • Weapon Systems
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Approximation Theory.
  • Logistics and Supply Chain Management.