A Statistical Analysis of the Effectiveness of Program Initial Conditions as Predictors of Weapon System Acquistion Program Success.

Abstract

This thesis examines the relationship between weapon system acquisition program's initial conditions (project size, technical risk and program length) and program outcomes in the areas of cost, performance, and schedule. The study employs a nonparametric correlation procedure and Mann-Whitney U Tests as the principal analytic tools of the examination process. The results of the analysis indicate that a definite relationship between cost/schedule growth and program size exists. In a significant number of cases, large programs incurred greater absolute cost growth with less schedule slippage than did programs of smaller size. The variance in project technical performance is largely unexplained by the methodology, although there are indications that it is related inversely to program length. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1976
Accession Number
ADA038779

Entities

People

  • Douglas Davies Henry

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Budgets
  • Business Administration
  • Contracts
  • Department Of Defense
  • Economic Analysis
  • Government Procurement
  • Governments
  • Management Personnel
  • Plastic Explosives
  • Procurement
  • Social Sciences
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Three Dimensional
  • Weapon Systems

Readers

  • Civilian Systems Systems Program Capability Development and Upgrade Support Activity Expense and Pay Management.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Statistical inference.