Crisis Forecasting and Crisis: A Critical Examination of the Literature.
Abstract
Crisis research, forecasting research, and crisis forecasting. After the literature in each area was examined, critical evaluation was conducted with the following conclusions:---(a) crisis research has been of use to applied crisis forecasting by providing useful generalizations about behavior; (b) forecasting methods are well suited to crisis forecasting data although much work needs to be done before sophisticated techniques such as econometrics and subjective methods can be used; and (c) crisis forecasting research has been specific in country focus and conducted in the context of specific time frames and is thus useful to future applied crisis forecasting.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1976
- Accession Number
- ADA039458
Entities
People
- Richard W. Parker