Measuring Non-Stationarity in the Parameters of a Linear Model with Applications to Asset Returns.

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a technique for measuring non-stationarity in linear models. The technique is conceptually simple. It can be adapted easily to a wide variety of problems and improved upon in obvious ways (which we will mention). Its restriction to linearity is probably not important to the practitioner because the overwhelming majority of commonly used techniques are linear; Examples: the sample mean, regression, analysis of variance. The method produces a time path of a linear model's coefficients and it provides the capability to assess the statistical significance of the non-stationarity. Furthermore, this is done under very weak assumptions concerning the probability distribution that generated the data. No particular generating process need be assumed. Such a robust method will clearly not be optimal for every application. An investigator who knows the generating process, or is willing to assume that he knows it, will be able to find a specialized technique better adapted to his case; but for those with a lower degree of skill or of arrogance, the method to be described here has much practical value.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1977
Accession Number
ADA042137

Entities

People

  • Melvin J. Hinich
  • Richard Roll

Organizations

  • Virginia Tech

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Analysis Of Variance
  • Capillary Electrophoresis
  • Corrosion Resistant Steels
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Science
  • Equations
  • Information Science
  • Mathematical Models
  • Models
  • New York
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Random Walk
  • Standards
  • Stochastic Processes
  • United States

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Educational Psychology
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Systems Analysis and Design