DoD and Navy Manpower Supply Scenarios through 2000.
Abstract
This report provides projections of high quality Navy male accessions in an all volunteer environment under various population and economic scenarios through the year 2000. The work was undertaken in order to provide long-range Naval planners with a set of feasible manpower scenarios for a 25-year time frame. The projections are made for a range of youth employment and fertility rate assumptions. The results are based on a model of enlistment behavior developed using data from 1970-1976. It should thus be emphasized that what was produced was not a projection of what will probably happen, but only an estimate of a range of possible manpower scenarios. The results show that declines in high quality enlistments due to population decline and economic conditions could lend to severe manpower shortfalls if present manpower policies were not altered. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 10, 1977
- Accession Number
- ADA044856
Entities
People
- David W. Grissmer
- Kwan Kim