The Mean Duration Time of Carrier-Borne Epidemics.

Abstract

In this paper, the two-population model for a carrier-borne epidemic posed by Bailey (The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases and its Applications, 1975, p. 211) is formulated in a mathematically tractable manner. This model reflects the epidemiology of diseases such as malaria, where the progress of the disease depends on the interaction of a population of mosquitoes and a population of humans. An expression for the mean duration time of the epidemic is obtained and a computationally feasible algorithm is presented. Results of a study investigating the consequences on the mean duration time of varying the infection and removal rates in the two populations are given. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1977
Accession Number
ADA052810

Entities

People

  • L. Billard
  • Susan L. Conlon

Organizations

  • Florida State University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Bacterial Infections And Mycoses
  • Blood Cells
  • Computer Programs
  • Diseases And Disorders
  • Epidemics
  • Epidemiology
  • Infection
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Intervals
  • Markov Chains
  • Military Research
  • Probability
  • Time Intervals
  • Transitions
  • Wound Infections

Fields of Study

  • Biology
  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Infectious Disease/Epidemiology