Decision Theoretic Aids for Inference, Evaluations, and Decision Making: A Review of Research and Experience.

Abstract

Over the past twenty years, there has been increasing emphasis on research concerned with human decision making abilities and with the development of formal methods to aid decision makers in reaching logically consistent choices. This broad area of research is of particular importance in national security contexts where key decision makers must resolve extremely complex decision problems characterized by uncertainty, conflicting information, and enormously high stakes. This technical report presents a summary of major portions of the literature bearing on people's ability to process information and to reach decisions. It also contains a review of laboratory and field assessments of judgmentally-based decision aiding systems embodying decision analytic concepts.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1978
Accession Number
ADA053962

Entities

People

  • Clinton W. Kelly Iii
  • Gregory W. Fischer
  • Ward Edwards

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Cyber
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bayesian Inference
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Computational Science
  • Databases
  • Delphi Method
  • Health Services
  • Human Factors Engineering
  • Information Processing
  • Information Systems
  • Mathematical Models
  • Medical Personnel
  • National Security
  • Operations Research
  • Psychology
  • Students
  • Systems Engineering
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Systems Analysis and Design
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.
  • Technical Research and Report Writing.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy