An Examination of the Effect of External Influences on the Soviet Negotiation Position in Post 1962 Arms Control Agreements
Abstract
This study articulates the general hypothesis which states that the Soviet negotiating position in post-1962 arms control negotiations is affected to a measurable degree by factors which are normally considered to be external to the military or arms control arena. After summarizing the progress in arms control agreements and the trend of Soviet negotiating positions, the study narrows its focus to the investigation of the effect of domestic factors on the Soviet negotiating position. The dependent variable in the analysis is the trend of Soviet negotiating positions as expressed by concessions and retractions in the negotiating processes which were concluded after 1962. The independent variable is the trend of development and progress, or lack thereof, in the agricultural sector of the Soviet economy. Agriculture was selected as the independent variable because the demand of society for agricultural products is perceived to be much less elastic than the demand for other products in the economy. The correlation of the negotiating position with the agriculture trend was shown by means of an SPSS program to be surprisingly weak, although positive in direction. The study breaks new ground and is intended to be the first in a series which will examine other variables not normally considered to be within the arms control arena.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 09, 1978
- Accession Number
- ADA058408
Entities
People
- John C. Goertemiller
Organizations
- United States Army Command and General Staff College