Forecasting Naval Enlisted Retention Behavior Under Alternative Retirement Systems.

Abstract

Recently, substantial changes in the U.S. military retirement system have been proposed by various groups. While the primary goal is the reduction of total personnel costs (particularly retirement costs), a more significant consideration is the resulting change in retention behavior of active duty personnel. For the Navy enlisted force, which already faces retention problems in some high technology ratings, the implementation of a new retirement system without considering its effect on force behavior could easily lead to personnel shortages and force quality problems. A technique is presented for forecasting Total Navy enlisted retention rates and service continuation rates under the economic incentives of alternative retirement systems. The same technique can be applied to enlisted rating groups characterized by relatively homogeneous occupations and retention behavior. Examples of forecasted retention rates and continuation rates under two different retirement systems are given. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 1978
Accession Number
ADA062106

Entities

People

  • Hans Mumm
  • Mark D. Chipman

Organizations

  • Bureau of Naval Personnel

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Air Force
  • Civilian Personnel
  • Computer Programming
  • Computer Programs
  • Department Of Defense
  • Dynamic Programming
  • Employment
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Governments
  • Management Personnel
  • Manpower
  • Military Organizations
  • Military Personnel
  • Military Research
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management

Readers

  • Naval Personnel Management
  • Systems Analysis and Design