Behavioral Aspects of Fallout Shelter Stay.

Abstract

A major assumption underlying the calculation of casualties from a nuclear exchange concerns the time civilian populations can be expected to stay in fallout shelters. Presently, two general guidelines are used: (1) one week of shelter stay followed by two weeks of partial shelter occupancy and, (2) a two day shelter stay followed by three days of partial shelter occupancy. The objective of this program is to explore the nature of these assumptions using behavioral sciences data. Systematic quantitative estimates of shelter stay times can be obtained from an empirical data base. Length of shelter stay is dependent on a variety of variables the most important being degree of preparedness. Generally, post attack behavior will be the range considered normal. The use of quantitative estimates of fallout shelter stay time reduces the variability associated with predicting the human factor in strategic simulations. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 26, 1978
Accession Number
ADA064144

Entities

People

  • R. A. Levit

Organizations

  • Braddock Dunn & McDonald

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Arms Control
  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Behavioral Sciences
  • Casualties
  • Civilian Population
  • Classification
  • Damage Assessment
  • Databases
  • Department Of Defense
  • Energy
  • Fallout Shelters
  • Human Behavior
  • Military Applications
  • Schools
  • Shelters
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Applied Combinatorial Optimization and Logic Circuit Design.
  • Nuclear Civil Defense.