A Technique for Using Synoptic Analogs to Predict the Development of Tropical Depressions into North Atlantic Hurricanes.

Abstract

This study presents a method for using the output of the U.S. Navy long range (analog) forecast model to predict the development of tropical depressions in the North Atlantic Ocean into tropical storms or hurricanes. The technique is applied to North Atlantic tropical depressions which formed in the period from 1974 through 1977. Sample cases, statistical analyses of results, and verification of the technique are presented. Results show that the method successfully predicts tropical depression development. Recommendations are made to streamline and improve the technique. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 1978
Accession Number
ADA065476

Entities

People

  • David Alan Grimm

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Atlantic Ocean
  • Cyclones
  • Databases
  • Depression
  • Hurricanes
  • Information Science
  • Meteorology
  • North Atlantic Ocean
  • Oceans
  • Pacific Ocean
  • Research Facilities
  • Sea Surface Temperature
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Surface Temperature
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • United States

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation