The China-Japan Connection: Prospects (and Pitfalls).

Abstract

This memorandum projects to the turn of the century and finds a situation wherein China, having solved its population and food problems, has fully exploited its oil resources to the point of being able to afford the complete modernization of its Armed Forces and the achievement of a nuclear counterforce capability vis-a-vis the other nuclear powers. In the year 2000 Japan's two-way trade with China has reached parity with that which it conducts with the United States. Japan has also signed a Non-Agression Pact with China, with a provision to continue to sell mutually-agreed-upon military hardware and technology to the PRC. Finally, the author assesses the US strategic position in East Asia as of the year 2000 and concludes that the decreased likelihood of Japan's foreign policy being a replica of that of the United States, due to its more intimate relationship with the PRC and its own military buildup, is more than offset by the increased stability in East Asia from a combination of PRC growth and Japanese economic enmeshment. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 30, 1978
Accession Number
ADA066181

Entities

People

  • Joseph S. Curran Jr

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Asia
  • Civil War
  • Commerce
  • Foreign Policy
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • International Organizations
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Revolutions
  • Security
  • Treaties
  • United States
  • Urban Areas
  • Ussr
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Asian Economic Studies
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design