Training for Calibration
Abstract
Two experiments attempted to improve the quality of people's probability assessments through intensive training. The first involved 11 sessions of 200 assessments each followed by comprehensive feedback. It showed considerable learning, almost all of which was accomplished after receipt of the first feedback. There was modest generalization to several related probability assessment tasks, no generalization at all to two others. The second experiment reduced the training to three sessions. It revealed the same pattern of learning and limited generalization. The implications of these results are discussed.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Nov 01, 1978
- Accession Number
- ADA069703
Entities
People
- Baruch Fischhoff
- Sarah Lichtenstein