A Monte Carlo Solution to the Problem of Survivability of Ammunition Stores

Abstract

The problem of survivability of ammunition stores given a hit is studied. This study models the propagation of the detonation through an ammunition store in a stochastic manner using the structure of percolation theory. This problem of propagation of detonation is found to fit into the model of a bond percolation problem. Our model predicts the average number of rounds lost per encounter, the standard deviation, and the probability distribution of reaction cluster size, as well as the cummulative probabilities, as functions of the inter-round interaction probability p. Our study shows that survivability requires that p be less than a critical probability Pc. We have also proposed a more general definition of the critical probability Pc.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 1979
Accession Number
ADA071459

Entities

People

  • Abdul R. Kiwan

Organizations

  • Ballistic Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Ammunition
  • Artillery Ammunition
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Programs
  • Data Science
  • Detonations
  • Explosives
  • Information Science
  • Percolation
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Standards
  • Survivability
  • Three Dimensional
  • Two Dimensional
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Quantum Chemistry
  • Statistical inference.