A Memory Retrieval Aid for Hypothesis Generation.

Abstract

This study investigates an aid for the hypothesis retrieval process which is based on a model for hypothesis retrieval developed by Gettys, Fisher, and Mehle (1978). A computer simulates the human hypothesis retrieval process by searching an enriched associative memory which contains the associations of a number of individuals in the form of a lists of hypotheses for each datum. When the data of a decision problem become known, the appropriate lists are searched by the computer. Hypotheses that are common to most or all of the lists are suggested to the user, who assesses them for plausibility. An experiment was performed to determine the utility of the aid for both expert and non-expert users. The aid produced a substantial gain in performance for both groups of users, suggesting that further development of the aid would be worthwhile in decision situations which are repeated often enough to warrant the creation of an enhanced artificial memory. Also discussed are several techniques for implementing the aid, and determining the maximum gain in performance that the aid can produce.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 27, 1979
Accession Number
ADA072657

Entities

People

  • Carol Manning
  • Charles Gettys
  • Stanley Fisher
  • Suzanne Baca
  • Tom Mehle

Organizations

  • University of Oklahoma

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Ants
  • California
  • Computers
  • Content Addressable Memory
  • Decision Theory
  • Demographic Cohorts
  • Hypotheses
  • Military Research
  • Naval Training
  • Operations Research
  • Plastic Explosives
  • Students
  • Systems Engineering
  • United States
  • United States Government
  • Universities
  • Virginia

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Library and Information Science
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.