Current Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems. II
Abstract
The proceedings of the Second (1976) Richmond Conference upon 'Current Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems' held at Richmond are reported. For preference, the report should be read in the context of an earlier report 'Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems' which sums up the proceedings of the First (1975) Conference on the theme, issued as an ARI technical report in April 1976; Contract DAERO-75-G072. The following main conclusions were reached. (a) Some individuals at least can be trained as decision makers but this should not be equated with training in probability assessment, simple laboratory choice selection, judgement, or the like. (b) There is no uniquely 'best' decision training method but quite a lot can be said about techniques that do not work on their own (though they may contribute to a training process). The caveat of (a) is important. Decision is a complex process, not a simple act as often supposed in laboratory studies, so that training expedients like providing immediate knowledge of results feedback, relative to a particular decision (for example, objective probability) do not teach decision even though they improved certain relevant behaviours. Effective decision training involves at least remedying mistakes and suggesting cogent heuristics in terms of a common language established, perhaps, as a compromise, and understood by the trainee and the instructor. (c) Decision making is probably a collection of skills integrated in the framework of tasks between which there is adequate generalization.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 01, 1978
- Accession Number
- ADA077991
Entities
People
- G. Pask