Criterion Considerations for Manpower Models.
Abstract
In presenting the theme for the 17th Military Operations Research Symposium, the Program Chairman has suggested two questions for our consideration: 'How good are model predictions?' and 'What are we doing to make them better?' In answering these questions with regard to manpower requirements models, it is important to specify what we mean by the 'goodness' of the 'model predictions'. For our purposes, a model is simply a logically connected set of rules that abstract selected characteristics of some phenomena or system. This statement is slightly less restrictive but in the same vein as the definition offered by Aris (1964):'... a set of equations ... in which the state of the system is described by some of the variables and the controls or decisions by other variables.' We construct a model by stating axioms or rules which correspond to relationships thought to exist in the real system. By manipulating particular variables in the model, we may (1) investigate dependencies among parameters, (2) generate hypotheses concerning significant variables, and (3) evaluate systems.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Nov 01, 1966
- Accession Number
- ADA079274
Entities
People
- Richard C. Sorenson