The Economic Impact of Domestic Military Installations on Regional Economies.

Abstract

This research determined that a model could be developed to predict the impact of changes in spending by a military installation on a regional economy. Such impacts are required to be estimated to implement the National Environmental Protection Act. The research examined the theoretical basis for impact determination especially economic base theory. This theory applies multipliers to changes in basic activity to predict economic impact. Techniques for developing multipliers were explored with emphasis on shift share analysis and location quotients. These techniques were applied to a comprehensive survey of the Monterey County economy. An Army developed model using location quotients was analyzed, and alternate techniques based on shift share analysis were proposed. Finally the impacts on Monterey County predicted by the two methods were compared using hypothetical changes in the Fort Ord force level. Recommendations for calculating impacts and improving predictive techniques are presented. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1979
Accession Number
ADA081602

Entities

People

  • Charles K. Young

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Civilian Personnel
  • Commerce
  • Economic Impact
  • Economics
  • Employment
  • Environmental Protection
  • Families (Human)
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Investments
  • Local Governments
  • Military Personnel
  • National Governments
  • Public Administration
  • Revenue
  • United States
  • Urban Areas

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) of Proposed Air Force Base Actions.
  • Systems Analysis and Design