The Analysis of Methodologies and Techniques for Estimating Soviet Resource Allocation. Volume II. Appendices.
Abstract
The overall objectives of the research reflected in this summary report are to characterize and analyze current methodologies and techniques for estimating Soviet resource allocation and to identify and define possible new methodologies and techniques. The need for such research was highlighted during the course of a workshop sponsored by the Office of Naval Research (ONR) on economic conflict. A major topic on the agenda for this workshop was a discussion of the problems involved in estimating Soviet national security expenditures (NSE). The need for such research was also cited in a recent staff study by the Joint Economic Committee of Congress which recommended that 'a determination should be made about the merits of the various methods for estimating Soviet defense spending'. The summary report also provides a review and assessment of the following three well-known econometric models of the Soviet economy from the standpoint of illustrating the primary and secondary ex ante resource allocation effects associated with twelve ex ante resource allocation experiments which were designed and developed by GE-TEMPO: (1) The Bergendorff-Strangert Model, (2) The Niwa Model, and (3) The Stanford Research Institute (SRI)-Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates (WEFA) Soviet Econometric Model (SOVMOD III). The report concludes with a series of recommendations with regard to additional experimental and methodological research.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 1979
- Accession Number
- ADA081678
Entities
People
- Gordon C. Mcmeekin
- Rex D. Minckler
Organizations
- General Electric