Demographics and Casualty Prediction/Analysis.

Abstract

This report presents a general method for predicting and bounding casualties from both prompt and delayed effects produced by attacks against population. The method contains analytic sub-models for distributions of population and hardness and for nuclear weapons phenomenology. Relocation schemes which evacuate people to locations where at least some people already reside are characterized abstractly and analyzed parametrically. The general analytic results predict the dispersion/hardness needed to achieve any specified outcome against any specified attack size and are used to explore the relative influence of the ingredients of a passive defense system. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1980
Accession Number
ADA085170

Entities

People

  • John J. Shea

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Casualties
  • Civil Defense
  • Contracts
  • Defense Systems
  • Demography
  • Department Of Homeland Security
  • Dispersions
  • Emergency Response
  • Geographic Regions
  • Hardening
  • Hardness
  • Nuclear Weapons
  • Passive Defense
  • Radiation Shielding
  • Spatial Distribution
  • Weapons

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Nuclear Civil Defense.
  • Systems Analysis and Design