A Study to Determine the Evolution of Advances in Medical Technology Expected in the Next 25 Years and Possible Impacts on Coast Guard Operation and Support Programs. Appendix B. Trend Impact Analysis.

Abstract

Trend Impact Analysis (TIA) is a new forecasting method that permits extrapolations of historical trends to be modified in view of expectations about future events which could influence the trends. This technique permits a manager interested in tracking a particular trend to include and systematically examine the effect of possible future events which he or his advisors believe to be important. The events which can include can span a wide spectrum, including: technological, political, social, economic, and value oriented changes.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 1980
Accession Number
ADA090474

Entities

People

  • Harry Truitt
  • Louise Mason
  • Theodore J. Gordon

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Coast Guard
  • Coast Guard Operations
  • Curve Fitting
  • Delphi Method
  • Electricity
  • Extrapolation
  • Family Size
  • Health Services
  • Hospitals
  • Indicators
  • Judgment
  • Materials
  • Probability
  • Public Health
  • Random Variables
  • Steady State
  • United States

Readers

  • Defense Technology Research and Development.
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Systems Analysis and Design