Profit Maximization Models for Exponential Decay Processes.

Abstract

A number of real world processes can be modelled as exponential decay processes. Examples are: machine replacement, oil well extraction, advertising goodwill, repair and cleaning activities, etc. In this paper we analyze a series of discounted or undiscounted, deterministic or stochastic exponential decay model. We characterize finite and infinite horizon optimal solutions for each model. We show that the solution can be characterized for the oil drillers problem in the following way: Once a well of sufficient capacity is drilled, oil is pumped from it until the oil remaining deceases to a fixed cut-off level; then the well is abandoned, and a new well is drilled. The resulting process when repeated over time appears to be the same as an oil source which produces oil revenue continuously at teh fixed cut-off level. In other words, the excess revenue received from an oil well when its capacity is greater than the cutoff level is just sufficient to pay for drilling costs for a new well. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1980
Accession Number
ADA091522

Entities

People

  • Gerald L. Thompson
  • S. P. Sethi
  • V. Udayabhanu

Organizations

  • Carnegie Mellon University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Boundaries
  • Differential Equations
  • Drilling
  • Drills
  • Equations
  • Extraction
  • Intervals
  • Metal Matrix Composites
  • Military Research
  • Oil Wells
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Two Dimensional
  • Universities

Readers

  • Economics
  • Geotechnical Engineering.
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.