A Statistical Analysis of Western North Pacific Ocean Tropical Cyclone Danger Area Forecasts.
Abstract
This study investigates 24-hr forecasts of 30-kt wind danger areas for western North Pacific Ocean tropical cyclones. The forecasts for 1979 have been verified against the 30-kt wind areas observed over a period of 24 hours. The threat scores of these verifications have been statistically analyzed. The dependency of threat scores on the five parameters: (a) speed of movement, (b) maximum observed wind, (c) direction of movement, (d) latitude and (e) longitude, was found to exist at the 1% level of significance. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Sep 01, 1980
- Accession Number
- ADA092408
Entities
People
- Terry Dean Snow
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School