An Econometric Analysis of Arms Transfers to the ASEAN Countries.

Abstract

An econometric analysis was carried out on military expenditures and arms imports data for ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asia Nations) countries using both single and simultaneous equation models. A forecasting model was developed following the econometric model. Both models were applied to actual arms transfers data for observations during 1968-1976. The empirical result of the econometric model demonstrated the simultaneity of the two variables above and the result of the forecasting model encouraged the use of the lagged variables to predict the values of military expenditures and arms imports. Both models are useful in the policy analysis of the arms transfers within the ASEAN countries. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1980
Accession Number
ADA094594

Entities

People

  • Sapto J. Poerwowidagdo

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Aircrafts
  • Asia
  • Commerce
  • Communist Countries
  • Data Sets
  • Delphi Method
  • Department Of Defense
  • Equations
  • Literature Surveys
  • Minority Groups
  • Models
  • National Governments
  • Observation
  • Simultaneous Equations
  • Southeast Asia
  • Ussr

Readers

  • International Journalism and Media Studies.
  • International Relations and European Studies
  • Theoretical Analysis.