Risk Assessment as a Subjective Process,

Abstract

Most extant approaches to risk assessment stress methodological and procedural solutions to the problem, in part because method and procedure are viewed as bulwarks against the fallibilities and limitations of human judgment. This paper examines the other side of that coin, the use of judgment and intuition as bulwarks against the fallibilities and limitations of formal methodology. Those limitations are described, and capabilities which judgment and intuition provide to compensate for them discussed. The paper calls for a greater synthesis of judgment and methodology, in which they aid and support each other instead of competing.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1980
Accession Number
ADA094944

Entities

People

  • Ralph Strauch

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Counter IED
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Business Administration
  • Carpets
  • Composite Materials
  • Decision Theory
  • Defense Planning
  • Environment
  • Images
  • Intelligence Community
  • Judgment
  • Models
  • Photographs
  • Public Policy
  • Risk
  • Risk Analysis
  • Statistical Decision Theory
  • Three Dimensional
  • Two Dimensional

Readers

  • Energy Conservation and Renewable Energy Engineering.
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.