Central Procurement Workload Projection Model

Abstract

A Seasonal Autoregressive Moving Average model is developed to forecast the total number of procurement actions awarded each quarter by DARCOM procurement. Quarterly data from fiscal year 1965 to 1979 is analyzed in the development of the time series model. Quarterly forecasts are made through fiscal year 1984. An illustration of how the model may be integrated into DARCOM's new Procurement Automated Manpower Utilization and Projection System (PAMUPS) is presented.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1981
Accession Number
ADA098687

Entities

People

  • Charles A. Correia
  • Charles M. Lowe Jr.

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Army Procurement
  • Contracts
  • Control Systems
  • Delphi Method
  • Equations
  • Logistics
  • Logistics Management
  • Management Personnel
  • Manpower Utilization
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Personnel
  • Personnel Management
  • Procurement
  • Random Variables
  • Standards
  • Time Series Analysis
  • White Noise

Readers

  • Government Contracting/Procurement.
  • Logistics and Supply Chain Management.
  • Statistical inference.