Atlantic Hurricane Strike Probability Program (STRIKPA).

Abstract

A program to accept Atlantic hurricane forecasts and create estimates of hurricane strike probabilities is described. The probabilities are based on a tri-modal bivariate normal distribution of forecast errors. The relationship of the occurrence of each mode to such predictors as motion components, geographical position and maximum wind is documented. Results of independent testing are reported. It is expected that strike probabilities will be available during the 1981 hurricane season. The format of input and a description of routine and special products are provided. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1981
Accession Number
ADA102594

Entities

People

  • Jerry D. Jarrell

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Coast Guard
  • Cyclones
  • Earth Sciences
  • Ecology
  • Geography
  • Meteorology
  • Military Research
  • Naval Air Stations
  • Naval Operations
  • Navy
  • Oceanography
  • Planetary Sciences
  • Research Facilities
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • Uss America
  • Uss Nimitz

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Computer Science.
  • Regression Analysis.