Report on the Results of the Probability of Lightning Condition Forecasting Test Conducted in 2WW during March, April and May 1977
Abstract
Lightning strikes on in-flight aircraft constitute a significant and previously unforecast hazard to military aircrews in Europe. A logic-diagram technique was developed to forecast the probability of occurrence of all known weather conditions that relate to such strikes. The logic was developed by meteorological reasoning and modified on the basis of questionnaire feedback from aircrews routinely briefed. Though the results contained some pessimistic bias, indications from over 100 responses were that the service was desired by a significant number of crews, and increasing probability values in the issued forecasts were associated with increasing likelihood of the crews encountering or seeing lightning events.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jul 01, 1977
- Accession Number
- ADA104219
Entities
People
- R. G. Bachman