Multiple Model Forecasting as an Alternative to the Standard Base Supply System (D002A) Forecasting Technique.
Abstract
The purpose of this thesis was to test multiple model forecasting as an alternative to the Standard Base Supply System D002A forecasting technique. Actual data were used from Dover AFB, Delaware. The methods used in the multiple model technique were single exponential smoothing, double exponential smoothing, adaptive exponential smoothing, four-term moving average and eight-term moving average. Results of each technique were compared in terms of mean absolute deviation, bias, and mean absolute percentage error. The results indicated that the multiple model forecasting technique was not optimal when used with the Standard Base Supply System. Recommendations were made based on the analysis. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 1981
- Accession Number
- ADA105074
Entities
People
- George J. Borowsky
- Vincent A. Abruzzese
Organizations
- Air Force Institute of Technology