Choosing Among Alternatives with Uncertain Outcomes: Effect of Prior Cuing and Estimation Requirements.

Abstract

Previous investigations by the authors have shown that judgments of frequency or probability have a facilitatory influence on subsequent predictive choice performance. The present study examined both these judgement processes more closely in an attempt to understand how they affect choices. Five groups of subjects served as emergency vehicle dispatchers for a hypothetical city. The experimental design involved a 2 x 2 factorial combination of response set and estimation task. More specifically, response set, defined as expectation of a frequency or probability response requirement, was crossed with actual response requirement, either frequency or probability estimation, in a between-groups design. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1981
Accession Number
ADA106143

Entities

People

  • Shanta P. Kerkar
  • William C. Howell

Organizations

  • Rice University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Acquisition
  • Behavioral Sciences
  • Calibration
  • Classification
  • Coding
  • Cognition
  • False Alarms
  • Frequency Response
  • Information Processing
  • Judgment
  • Measurement
  • Motor Skills
  • Probability
  • Psychology
  • Taxonomy
  • Warning Systems

Fields of Study

  • Psychology

Readers

  • Emergency Management and Homeland Security.
  • Regression Analysis.