Expert's Use of Information: Is It Biased?

Abstract

Two experiments were conducted to compare the use of base rate and sample size information by experts and novices in making predictions about future events. Results showed that even though the majority of experts used both types of information, they used very simplistic information processing strategies. All participants regardless of expertise used highly systematic although individualistic strategies in making their predictions. These results and methodology can be used to assess and improve Army personnel information processing through training and automated systems development.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 18, 1982
Accession Number
ADA117431

Entities

People

  • Ruth H. Phelps

Organizations

  • U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Analysis Of Variance
  • Army Personnel
  • Army Training
  • Control Systems
  • Engineers
  • Factorial Design
  • Human Behavior
  • Information Processing
  • Information Systems
  • Judgment
  • Military Research
  • Pain
  • Social Sciences
  • Students
  • Systems Engineering
  • Training

Fields of Study

  • Psychology

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Organizational Psychology.
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.