Categorical Confidence
Abstract
The present study attempted to improve the appropriateness of confidence with a seemingly nondirective tack. Subjects were asked to sort items into a specified number of piles according to their confidence in the correctness of their answers. Subsequently, they assigned a number of each pile expressing the probability that each item in the pile was correct. Even though this procedure differed from its predecessors in many respects, performance here was indistinguishable from that observed elsewhere. Though small pockets of improvement were noted, confidence was largely resistant to this manipulation. Some implications of these results for attempts to study confidence and eliminate overconfidence are discussed.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jul 01, 1982
- Accession Number
- ADA120555
Entities
People
- Baruch Fischhoff
- Don Macgregor
- Sarah Lichtenstein