Manning the Army in 1990.
Abstract
This thesis is a study of the feasibility of manning an 18 division U.S. Army by FY 1990. To accomplish this, aggregate and paygrade requirements were established and a review of manpower supply and demand issues was made. Two manpower scenarios were then developed and used in predicting aggregate and paygrade requirements. Specific predictive information used included personnel attrition, retention, promotion and accession data. The information was processed using an APL program called MANMOD. The program is based on Markov chains and allows projection of personnel supply data into the future (in this case until 1990). The data projections provided predictions on whether present policies will meet future paygrade requirements, or whether changes in policies will have to be made in order to man an 18 division (active duty) Army. The result of this thesis indicates that the personnel supply required to fill 18 divisions will be available, but problems may be encountered in attaining a sufficient number who can qualify in AFQT test categories I-IIIA. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 1982
- Accession Number
- ADA122463
Entities
People
- Has Slone Jr
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School