A Simple Model of Population Vulnerability during Crisis Relocation.

Abstract

The objective of the study is to estimate the cost in survivors of short warning leading to attack during full nationwide crises relocation. A simulation model of traffic flow over the national interstate road network was developed to predict population vulnerability during a crisis relocation. The model predicts large initial rates of reduction in nationwide vulnerability (half the at-risk population is evacuated in 21 hours) due to the large number of risk areas, reception areas, and over the road network to achieve the traffic plan assumptions of the model are discussed. No unreasonable problems are uncovered in achieving the major production of the model.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1983
Accession Number
ADA125473

Entities

People

  • Leo A. Schmidt

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accidents
  • Ballistic Missiles
  • California
  • Civil Defense
  • Databases
  • Department Of Homeland Security
  • Engineering
  • Fallout Shelters
  • Geography
  • Materials
  • Ridges
  • Surface Burst
  • Terrain
  • Thermal Radiation
  • Transportation
  • United States
  • Weapons Effects

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Economics
  • Nuclear Civil Defense.