Non-Nuclear Air-to-Surface Ordnance for the Future: An Approach to Propulsion Technology Risk Assessment.

Abstract

Proposes a risk assessment method that addresses the likelihood of achieving technological advances for particular military hardware by quantifying (1) the technological state-of-the-art of that hardware and (2) the probability of achieving that program relative to past experiences with similar programs. The hardware considered in this research for state-of-the-art trending and risk assessment includes man-rated aircraft turbine engines, solid rocket motors, and non-man-rated missile and drone turbine engines. Preliminary evaluation of the various models indicates that, for the most part, the results agree with what engineers would expect concerning variables that are important to the trend of the technologies and to the outcomes for particular programs. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1983
Accession Number
ADA127268

Entities

People

  • C. M. Francisco
  • J. R. Nelson
  • R. Y. Pei
  • W. P. Hutzler

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Airframes
  • Business Administration
  • Databases
  • Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles
  • Munitions
  • Propulsion Systems
  • Risk Analysis
  • Rocket Engines
  • Rocket Propulsion
  • Rockets
  • Turbines
  • Turbofan Engines
  • Turbojet Engines
  • United States
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Agent-Based Social Robotics and Mobile-Assisted Learning in Virtual Environments.
  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Missile Defense Systems.

Technology Areas

  • Autonomy