An Investigation of Long Term Acquisition Cost Growth Rates of United States Navy Ships

Abstract

This study is a basic exploration of the validation and limitations of forecasting the future Navy based on historical growth trends. It addresses the long term relationships between fleet dollar value, fleet tonnage, fleet manning and fleet electrical generating capacity disaggregated by classes and types of vessels in the U.S. Navy. This study presents three methods by which four aggregated growth rate relationships of United States Navy Ships may be estimated and compared. The four proportional growth rates studied are unit (ship) per acquisition dollar, tonnage per dollar, electrical generating capacity per dollar, and crewmember per dollar. The three historical growth rate computations are analyzed using four different weighting factors. Although growth rates are simplistic in concept, aggregation of the non-homogeneous collection of diverse units which compose the United States provide interesting results.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1983
Accession Number
ADA128504

Entities

People

  • Douglas A. Smartt

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Ballistic Missiles
  • Budgets
  • Computer Programs
  • Databases
  • Fish
  • Guided Missiles
  • Information Science
  • Naval Operations
  • Naval Vessels
  • Naval Warfare
  • Navy
  • Second World War
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Submarines
  • United States

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering.