Strategic Analysis as Though Nonsuperpowers Matter.

Abstract

Military strategy analysis seldom treats nonsuperpower behavior except in the simplest fashion. This obscures real uncertainty and disagreement about nonsuperpower roles in future armed conflict between superpowers. The study asks if a more dynamic treatment of nonsuperpower behavior in strategic analysis is feasible and desirable. It describes a rule-based nonsuperpower simulation and results of gaming several scenarios. The analysis reveals possible interactions between superpower and nonsuperpower decision making potentially affecting deterrence stability, military performance, and alliance cohesion. It concludes that strategic analysis can and should consider nonsuperpower behavior as important independent variables. (Author)

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1983
Accession Number
ADA130587

Entities

People

  • William Schwabe

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Birds
  • Business Administration
  • Computer Languages
  • Computer Programming
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Employment
  • Governments
  • Lessons Learned
  • Management Personnel
  • Military Exercises
  • Military Strategy
  • National Security
  • Strategic Analysis
  • United States
  • Warfare
  • Western Europe

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery.
  • Strategic Security Studies