Predictors of Success in Air Force Institute of Technology Resident Master's Degree Programs: A Validity Study

Abstract

The effectiveness of a selection process is directly related to the strength of the relationships between eligibility criteria and measures of performance. Criterion-related validity research provides a means to establish the nature and strength of predictor/criterion relationships. Predictors used by the Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT) in selecting military officers and civilian employees for graduate school include admission test scores and undergraduate grade-point-averages. Using a sample containing 2170 cases which spanned the period from 1977 to 1982, predictor/criterion relationships were demonstrated for AFIT's in-residence master's degree programs. The differences in key predictor/criterion relationships between 17 graduate programs were statistically tested. As a result, it was found that some master's degree programs could be statistically combined with others to enhance prediction. Prediction model were developed using multiple regression. These models were shown to be superior to the present selection process. Correlation matrices, program groups, and prediction models are presented.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1983
Accession Number
ADA134391

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  • James R. Van Scotter

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  • Air Force Institute of Technology

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  • Air Force
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  • Education

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