Cognitive Simulation of an Anti-Submarine Warfare Commander's Tactical Decision Process
Abstract
A normative-descriptive simulation model of an Anti-submarine warfare commander's tactical decision process is discussed. The decision process is conceptualized as a cascading of two cognitive activities: situation assessment and resource allocation. The ASWC model is driven by an environmental simulator, which updates the state of own-force platforms and enemy submarines and generates the submarine contacts from own-force sensors. On the basis of this information, the ASWC: performs the multi-source/multi-sensor data correlation problem (situation assessment) and allocates ASW aircraft for contact prosecution or target localization (resource management). The normative representations used to describe the ASWC's cognitive activities are drawn from the detection, estimation, and statistical decision theories. The descriptive limitations, which have been used to constrain the normative models to produce human-like behavior, are drawn from the cognitive and behavioral literature. The limitations that are encoded explicitly into the model are: short-term memory, imperfect probabilistic information processing, and threat-sensitive choice making. The model outputs the sequence of aircraft allocation decisions made by the ASWC and computes two measures of ASW system effectiveness: The number of submarines successfully brought to attack criterion and the mean-to-engagement.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Feb 01, 1984
- Accession Number
- ADA138849
Entities
People
- E. E. Entin
- J. C. Deckert
- J. G. Wohl
- M. G. Alexandridis