Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield: Critique and Recommendations

Abstract

Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield (IPB), outlined in Circulars TC30-27 and TC34-3, represents a major step toward improving procedures for correlating data with enemy intent. The purpose of this report is to show how IPB could be improved by incorporating decision-analytic techniques and computerized decision aids to improve the judgmental process inherent with IPB. The first section of this report describes the necessary dependence of IPB on human judgment. This section identifies the different types of judgement inherent in each of the five steps in the IPB analysis process proposed in TC30- 27 and TC34-3. The general conclusion is that except for terrain analysis and weather analysis, these circulars fail to tell intelligence analysts how they are to make the judgments necessary to implement the proposed IPB analysis process. The second section of this report describes the results of research studying how well people make the judgments inherent in IPB. The research strongly suggests that people's ability to make these judgments can be improved substantially by training them in decision-analytic techniques and by giving them access to computerized judgment aids.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA139038

Entities

People

  • L. Adelman
  • M. L. Donnell
  • R. H. Phelps

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Analysts
  • Applied Psychology
  • Bayesian Inference
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Command And Control
  • Computer Graphics
  • Information Processing
  • Information Systems
  • Intelligence Analysis
  • Intelligence Analysts
  • Intelligence Cycle
  • Order Of Battle
  • Probability
  • Psychology
  • Scientific Research
  • Social Sciences

Readers

  • Geospatial Intelligence and Artificial Intelligence Analytics
  • Naval Mine Countermeasure Systems Development.
  • Theoretical Analysis.